Richmond
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 90.8252Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 3- 4 214 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 7- 5 214 H Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 10- 8 217 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 0-15 218 A Nicholls SL ( 1-13, 90.0) 9- 1 220 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 0- 3 221 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 3- 0 221 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 4- 3 224 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 0-27 317 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 7- 5 325 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 2- 7 331 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4-19 414 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 10- 2 415 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 9-10 421 H Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 12-11 505 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 5- 7 512 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6-16 522 A George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Monmouth 3- 4 -1 -2 0.58
214 H Monmouth 7- 5 2 -2 + 3.58
214 H Monmouth 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.58
217 H Indiana 0-15 -15 -4 --- -10.44
218 A Nicholls 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.85
220 A North Carolina A&T 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.02
221 H Penn State 3- 0 3 0 + 3.21
221 H Penn State 4- 3 1 0 1.21
224 A NC State 0-27 -27 -6 --- -7.77
317 H Maryland 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.28
325 H Old Dominion 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.19
331 A Maryland 4-19 -15 -5 --- -9.36
414 A Janes Madison 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 9.95
415 A Old Dominion 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.16
421 H Air Force 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.40
505 A Old Dominion 5- 7 -2 -3 1.16
512 A Virginia 6-16 -10 -6 -- -4.05
522 A George Mason 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Indiana 0-15 -15 -4 --- -10.44 224 A NC State 0-27 -27 -6 --- -7.77 331 A Maryland 4-19 -15 -5 --- -9.36 512 A Virginia 6-16 -10 -6 -- -4.05 522 A George Mason 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.13 220 A North Carolina A&T 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.02 325 H Old Dominion 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Nicholls 9- 1 8 0 +++ 7.85 414 A Janes Madison 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 9.95 317 H Maryland 7- 5 2 -3 ++ 5.28 421 H Air Force 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.40 214 H Monmouth 7- 5 2 -2 + 3.58 214 H Monmouth 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.58 221 H Penn State 3- 0 3 0 + 3.21 415 A Old Dominion 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 3- 4 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 1.61 -6.02
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 7- 5 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 1.61 35.12
3 H Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 10- 8 -6.82 11.60 -0.68 1.61 35.12
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 0-15 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 1.61 -4.43
3 A Nicholls ( 1-13, 90.0) 9- 1 -9.90 8.53 0.68 1.61 29.57
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 0- 3 -9.77 8.66 0.68 1.61 -7.31
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 3- 0 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 1.61 30.73
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 4- 3 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 1.61 30.73
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 0-27 -3.52 14.91 0.68 1.61 -2.28
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 7- 5 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 1.61 40.60
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 2- 7 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 1.61 -5.84
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 4-19 -5.11 13.31 0.68 1.61 -3.57
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 10- 2 -7.80 10.63 0.68 1.61 36.32
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 9-10 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.61 -4.75
3 H Air Force ( 5-13, 94.9) 12-11 -5.00 13.42 -0.68 1.61 40.97
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 5- 7 -6.59 11.84 0.68 1.61 -4.75
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6-16 -3.80 14.63 0.68 1.61 -2.51
3 A George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 6-11 -9.88 8.55 0.68 1.61 -7.39
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230.30
|
winning pts = 279.1533 losing points = -48.8502
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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